30-second overview: Taiwan's drone industry is experiencing a geopolitically driven explosion. The Ministry of National Defense plans to spend NT$50 billion procuring nearly 50,000 military drones, and drones are one of the core items in the Executive Yuan's NT$1.25 trillion special budget. Thunder Tiger Technology became the first Taiwanese company to earn U.S. Blue UAS certification. From crop-dusting to battlefield reconnaissance, Taiwan's drone industry is shifting from "contract manufacturing" to "defense self-reliance," aiming to become the next strategic industry after semiconductors.
In 1979, Thunder Tiger Technology was founded in Taichung, making radio-controlled model airplanes. For forty-six years, the company made toys, made aircraft models, and even made dental equipment. No one anticipated that on September 21, 2025, Thunder Tiger's FPV loitering munition "Overkill" would become the first Taiwanese product to earn U.S. Department of Defense Blue UAS Cleared List certification1.
The Blue List is the Pentagon's certification for drones deemed "safe enough for use by U.S. government agencies." Before this, the list was almost entirely populated by domestic American and allied-nation vendors. What Thunder Tiger received was more than a certificate — it was a ticket into the U.S. government drone procurement market, a market estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars.
📝 Curator's note
The explosion of Taiwan's drone industry bears a structural resemblance to the rise of Taiwan's semiconductor industry: in both cases, geopolitics created the market. Semiconductors rose because the world needed a chip fabrication base beyond China's control; drones rose because the United States needs a drone supply chain free of Chinese components. Taiwan has been standing in the right place both times.
From Farmland to Battlefield
Taiwan's drone applications began in agriculture.
Around 2017, agricultural drones started appearing in the fields of Yunlin and Chiayi. A multi-rotor drone carrying a pesticide tank could complete in 10 minutes what took a human worker 40 minutes, using only one-fourth to one-twentieth the pesticide of traditional methods2. By 2021, more than a thousand pilots across Taiwan had obtained dual agricultural-spraying certifications.
But what truly launched the industry was not agriculture — it was the military.
In 2023, the Ministry of National Defense opened its first public tender for "military-commercial specification" drones. This term is important: these are not military-designed, military-manufactured mil-spec products, but rather commercially available drones purchased from civilian vendors, augmented with military-grade information security and communications encryption. The concept was drawn from lessons on the Ukrainian battlefield — cheap, mass-producible commercial drones proved more effective in real combat than expensive military-spec equipment3.
The NT$50 Billion Tender and 50,000 Drones
On July 23, 2025, the Ministry of National Defense formally announced the largest military-commercial drone procurement program in its history: approximately NT$50 billion to purchase nearly 50,000 drones across five categories between 2026 and 2027 — multi-rotor reconnaissance drones, fixed-wing attack drones, vertical-takeoff fixed-wing drones, FPV loitering munitions, and micro-reconnaissance drones4.
The first batch of 3,600 drones, worth approximately NT$7 billion, has already been awarded. Winning bidders include Coretronic Intelligent Robotics (CIRC), Evergreen Aerospace Technology, JettWings Technology, and MiTAC Information Technology. Mass deliveries begin in the second half of 2026, with 11,270 drones expected to be delivered that year and another 37,480 in 2027.
This is only the beginning. Within the Executive Yuan's NT$1.25 trillion special budget, drones are one of seven major items, with planned procurement exceeding 200,000 drones of various types and over a thousand unmanned surface vessels5.
| First Batch | Follow-on Plans |
|---|---|
| 3,600 units | 50,000 units (NT$50 billion) |
| NT$7 billion | Part of NT$1.25 trillion special budget |
| CIRC, Evergreen, etc. | 20+ firms competing |
| Delivery in 2026 | Phased delivery 2026–2033 |
💡 Did you know?
Coretronic Intelligent Robotics (CIRC) had less than NT$100 million in drone revenue in 2024. If government tenders ship on schedule, 2026 revenue will surge past NT$1 billion — a tenfold increase. A single defense contract has rewritten a company's trajectory.
The Non-Red Supply Chain
"Non-red supply chain" is the keyword for Taiwan's drone industry.
The global civilian drone market has long been dominated by China's DJI (Da-Jiang Innovations), with over 70% market share. But DJI products are treated as an information security risk by many governments — drone-captured imagery and flight data could be transmitted back to Chinese servers. Starting in 2020, the U.S. government progressively banned federal agencies from using DJI products and established the Blue List as an alternative6.
Taiwan's opportunity lies here: the United States and its allies need a drone supply chain independent of Chinese components. Taiwan has a foundation in semiconductors and precision manufacturing, a security alliance with the United States, and its own defense needs as a proving ground. Approximately NT$300 billion of the NT$1.25 trillion special budget will be manufactured by Taiwanese firms, with the goal of building this "non-red supply chain"7.
📝 Curator's note
Thunder Tiger's path into the U.S. market is worth watching: first obtain Blue UAS certification (solving the trust problem), then target the U.S. Army's Drone Dominance Program, which aims to deliver over 200,000 small drones to the military by 2027. A model-airplane company from Taichung is bidding on Pentagon contracts.

May 4, 2013: NCSIST "Albatross" UAV (No. 9717) on display at Pier 11, Zhongzheng Naval Port, Kaohsiung. Photo: 玄史生. CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons.
The Blue List and One Ticket
The true scarcity of the Blue List becomes clear from one number: as of early 2026, across Taiwan's entire drone industry, only one company and one product has directly earned Blue UAS Cleared certification — Thunder Tiger's Overkill FPV8. The remaining forty-plus airframe slots and over 160 component slots still belong to North American and allied-nation vendors.
This is not because the program is new. The Blue UAS program launched in 2020, and on December 3, 2025, it was formally transferred from the Defense Innovation Unit (DIU) to the Defense Contract Management Agency (DCMA), with a new portal at bluelist.dcma.mil, managed by the Unmanned Systems Experimentation Command (US-X) in Palmdale, California9. After more than five years of mature operation, Taiwan has squeezed into exactly one seat.
The difficulty of earning that seat is written into the legal foundation. The parent legislation is Section 848 of the FY2020 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA): a prohibition on the Department of Defense procuring any drone "manufactured in China or containing critical Chinese components." The named prohibited components include flight controllers, radios, data transmission units, cameras, gimbals, ground control systems, operating software, and data storage units — essentially every part of a drone that "stores or transmits data." In 2022, the provision was expanded to cover Russia, Iran, and North Korea10. A vendor applying for Blue UAS must submit a complete bill of materials from chip to software for Pentagon review, replacing every component sourced from a covered country. American industry representatives at a U.S.-Taiwan defense industry forum openly admitted that "removing all Chinese components from small drones is genuinely difficult"11.
Thunder Tiger took a direct path, but not alone. In June 2025, Thunder Tiger signed a memorandum of understanding with U.S. defense technology firm Auterion, integrating Auterion's Skynode AI platform into the Overkill series; in the same month, NCSIST also signed a strategic partnership with Auterion — the first agreement of this level between NCSIST and a foreign defense technology company12. Three months later, Overkill passed Blue UAS. At the October AUSA (Association of the U.S. Army) exhibition, Thunder Tiger and Auterion shared a booth, rebranding Overkill as "Flying Blade" and screening a live-test video demonstrating detection of moving targets at 1 kilometer in a complex electromagnetic environment. That December, Thunder Tiger announced its bid for the U.S. Army's Drone Dominance Program — an US$1.1 billion program using a four-stage gauntlet format, narrowing 25 companies down to roughly 12 to produce an initial batch of 30,000 units, with a target unit price of US$2,300. Thunder Tiger plans to establish an assembly plant in Ohio in the first quarter of 2026 to meet "Buy American" requirements13.
💡 Did you know?
Taiwanese firms that cannot earn their own ticket have a second path: manufacturing hardware for those who already have one. Coretronic Intelligent Robotics (CIRC) manufactures Teledyne FLIR's SIRAS quad-rotor drone in Taiwan, with final integration completed in the United States; Teledyne FLIR's Ion M440 is already on the Cleared List. Sysgration (5309) partnered with U.S.-based Vantage Robotics in September 2025 to launch the Vesper and Trace, two Blue UAS / NDAA-compliant drones. The cost of this indirect path: Taiwan's name does not appear on the list; the products are sold back to the U.S. under an American brand.
The legislative front is also in motion. In April 2026, U.S. Senators Ted Cruz and John Curtis (Republican) alongside Jeff Merkley and Andy Kim (Democrat) co-sponsored the Blue Skies for Taiwan Act of 2026 (S.4259), requiring the State Department, in coordination with the Department of Defense, to "establish a fast-track pathway for Taiwanese Blue UAS vendors" and to set up a Blue UAS working group to evaluate Taiwanese production capacity and identify opportunities and obstacles for integrating Taiwanese components into the U.S. defense supply chain14. The bill's existence is itself an implicit admission: Taiwanese firms are currently moving too slowly, and legislation is needed to lower the bar.
⚠️ Controversial perspective
Defense media outlet DefenseScoop revealed in November 2025 a structural loophole in the Blue List: NDAA Section 848 only covers components that "store or transmit data" — motors, passive electronics, and other mechanical parts are currently not prohibited. Multiple drones already on the Blue UAS list still contain Chinese motors15. This loophole is a double-edged sword for Taiwan: on one hand, it lowers the cost of component replacement for Taiwanese firms; on the other, it undermines the trust promise that "Blue List = fully de-Sinicized."
Dual-Track Industrial Base: NCSIST vs. Five Private Firms
Taiwan's drone industry runs on two legs. One is domestically developed military-spec platforms, led by the National Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology (NCSIST). The other is military-commercial specification procurement, carried out by five private-sector winning bidders. The two legs do different things with different resources.
The NCSIST leg produces high-end indigenous platforms. The Teng Yun (Cloud Rider) Type II is a large reconnaissance drone using the same engine as the U.S. MQ-9B SkyGuardian, capable of over 20 hours of endurance; a mass production budget may only be allocated in 20268. The Albatross (Rui Yuan) Type II is a shipborne surveillance and reconnaissance drone for the Navy, with a 12-meter wingspan, 300-kilometer datalink range, and 2,000-kilometer maximum range, entering mass production from 20259. The Red Kuei (Red Sparrow) Type III replaces the Type II and is operated by the Marine Corps as a small reconnaissance drone for company-level field units8. The Chien Xiang is a anti-radiation loitering munition that has been in mass production since 2019, with 104 units planned for delivery over six years, assigned to the Air Force Air Defense and Missile Command10.
In 2025, NCSIST announced it would release the manufacturing, systems integration, and technology licensing for these platforms to private-sector firms — the first round of policy-driven redistribution of indigenous defense technology to civilian mass production8.
The private-sector leg handles the "military-commercial specification" procurement program — the military places orders, firms produce to commercial specifications, and military-grade encrypted communications and information security certifications are added. The first batch of 3,037 drones, worth approximately NT$6.887 billion, was awarded to four firms in 2024; a second batch worth NT$6.951 billion was awarded to the same four firms again in August 2025[^14]:
| Firm | Main Products | Production Capacity |
|---|---|---|
| Coretronic Intelligent Robotics (CIRC) | 1,485 micro units + 1,552 surveillance-type units, electro-optical payloads | Over 3,000 units shipped in 2025, largest in Taiwan; clients include Teledyne FLIR; certified in Europe, Australia, and Japan12 |
| GEOSAT Aerospace & Technology | Navy surveillance type + Army micro type | Visual payload with 30x zoom, 1080P HD, 640×512 infrared thermal imaging |
| Evergreen Aerospace Technology | Shipborne surveillance type + assembly and testing | Aviation maintenance production line converted to military use |
| JettWings Technology | Land-based surveillance type | Focused on military-commercial turnkey solutions |
| MiTAC Information Technology | Micro reconnaissance + micro tactical + encrypted communications | Encrypted communications modules are a critical software-layer position |
With Thunder Tiger and AIDC subsequently joining the drone alliance, this private-sector leg is taking shape — but each company's capacity is still measured in "thousands of units," not "tens of thousands." CIRC's 3,000+ units in 2025 is already the largest scale in Taiwan; set against Ukraine's monthly production of 200,000 units, it looks like a cottage workshop.
The Other Half of the Invisible War: Counter-UAS
Drone warfare has never been only about "I can hit you." The front lines in Ukraine opened the other direction as well — counter-UAS (counter-unmanned aircraft system) systems, now equally important as offensive drones.
NCSIST has two programs on this axis. The "Thunder Guard" (Lei Hu) program uses high-energy lasers to destroy small drones and successfully hit live targets in a 2025 operational evaluation13. The other system is the "Drone Defense System," which passed live testing in 2024 and can detect small drones (U.S. military Category 1–2 UAS) within 5 kilometers, weighing under 25 kilograms, flying below 3,500 feet, and traveling under 466 km/h. The suite includes a control station, threat-detection radar, jamming systems, and individual handheld jamming guns14. The technical approach runs on two tracks simultaneously: soft kill (electronic jamming to make drones hover, return, or land) and hard kill (high-energy lasers, 20mm or 30mm autocannons for direct destruction).
On the private-sector side, Tron Future Tech is the representative, unveiling a five-module counter-UAS system at the 2025 Paris Air Show, attracting inquiries from European and Middle Eastern delegations15. Thunder Tiger is pushing from the attack side into the countermeasure side — they have publicly named DJI as a long-term research subject, with the goal of understanding adversary drone behavior patterns to develop more precise countermeasure logic16.
Within the Executive Yuan's NT$1.25 trillion "Strengthening Defense Resilience and Asymmetric Capabilities Program" special budget (spanning 8 years from 2026 to 2033), "unmanned vehicles and their countermeasure systems" is the second-largest line item, allocated NT$335 billion, with plans to procure over 210,000 drones of various types and over a thousand unmanned surface vessels — several times the total of the past decade17.
The Scale Question: Does Taiwan Need Tens of Thousands or Millions of Drones?
This is the sharpest question facing the entire industry.
⚠️ Controversial perspective
Analysis by ASPI (Australian Strategic Policy Institute) is blunt: Taiwan's drone program is far too small. 210,000 sounds like a lot, but Ukraine's monthly production in 2025 exceeded 200,000 units, surpassing 4.5 million for the year — the front-line consumption rate and the production rate have nearly converged into parallel lines. Taiwan's NT$1.25 trillion budget spread over 8 years for 210,000 units averages 26,250 per year — one and a half months of Ukraine's single-month output. Critics argue Taiwan does not need 210,000 drones; it needs 2 million1819.
Ukraine's experience also taught the world something else: the FPV drone industry was forced into existence by the battlefield. Ukraine produced close to 300,000 units in 2023, surged to over 2 million in 2024, and hit 4.5 million in 2025 — a curve driven by front-line consumption pushing demand backward through the supply chain. Taiwan does not have this curve yet — only a draft special budget bill still under Legislative Yuan review, and a cluster of private firms producing thousands per month.
Two structural problems stand in the way. The first is production consistency: military-spec drones must pass information security, NDAA Section 848, and electromagnetic interference testing, with every unit meeting identical specifications; civilian production lines transitioning from consumer-grade to military-spec are still catching up on this layer of QA. The second is the core component supply chain: flight controllers, cameras, and gimbals containing even a single Chinese chip cannot make it onto the Blue List. Taiwan's semiconductor sector is strong, but the midstream flight controller board and gimbal module industry is still dominated by small and medium enterprises, and capacity expansion requires time and capital.
From Contract Manufacturing to Strategic Industry
Taiwan's drone industry is at an inflection point.
For the past thirty years, Taiwanese firms did contract manufacturing. Semiconductors are the success story of this path — from ASE's packaging and testing in the 1980s to TSMC's 2-nanometer process in 2025, geopolitics pushed contract manufacturing into an "irreplaceable" position. The drone industry now stands at a similar starting point: geopolitics demands a supply chain without China, and Taiwan has semiconductors, precision manufacturing, an alliance with the United States, and its own defense needs as a proving ground.
But the structure is different. The semiconductor race is determined by the yield and process of a handful of top-tier fabs; the drone race is determined by the mass production and consumption of a vast number of factories. A fab's depreciation cycle is 5–7 years; an FPV drone's depreciation cycle is "the moment it flies out." Fabs are better the more expensive they are; drones are better the cheaper they are. These are two entirely different industrial philosophies.
The front lines in Ukraine have written a new textbook: the core of future warfare is not one expensive drone, but ten thousand drones cheap enough to be expendable. Whether Taiwan can manufacture drones the way it manufactures chips — in volume, cheaply, with consistent quality — will determine how high this industry can fly20.
✦ "Semiconductors made Taiwan indispensable. Drones may make Taiwan inviolable — provided Taiwan makes enough of them, fast enough, and cheap enough."
Viewed at the scale of the island's history, the story has barely begun. TSMC's thirty-eight years from 1987 to 2025 traced a path from "I just want to survive" to "the most important man in the world"; Taiwan's drone industry in 2025 has only just reached the step of "the first unit on the Pentagon's procurement list." Projecting along the 8-year timeline of the NT$1.25 trillion budget, Taiwan needs to build an industry capable of competing at Ukraine's scale from scratch before 2033, while simultaneously solving engineering challenges across multiple axes — information security, supply chain, production QA, software AI, counter-UAS, and more. This is more complex than the semiconductor industry's early track, because the adversary is time itself — every additional year of delay means facing a more asymmetric battlefield.
Thunder Tiger's production line in Taichung, which began with radio-controlled toy airplanes in 1979, and TSMC's 2-nanometer fab in Baoshan, Hsinchu, are now separated by scale and time. The former produces 1,000 military-spec drones per month; the latter ships 50,000 wafers per month — two factories standing in the same geopolitical position on Taiwan, but facing adversaries operating at entirely different tempos. The semiconductor adversary is clock speed; the drone adversary is the number consumed on the Russia-Ukraine battlefield every minute.
Further reading
- Taiwan's Defense and Military Modernization — The full picture behind the porcupine strategy and 200,000 drones
- Semiconductor Industry — Taiwan's previous strategic industry, born from geopolitics
- Taiwan's Space Industry Development — From drones to satellites, Taiwan's ambitions in the sky
- Taiwan's Robotics Industry — Another case of "strong components, weak complete systems," sharing the same structural challenges as drones
References
Image Credits
This article uses 2 public domain / CC-licensed images, all cached in public/article-images/technology/ to avoid hotlinking source servers:
- Hero: Chung Shyang II UAV — Photo: Kliu1, 2007-10-11, NCSIST Albatross series on display at the Republic of China National Day ceremony. Public domain via Wikimedia Commons.
- Inline: UAV 9717 Display at No.11 Pier — Photo: 玄史生, 2013-05-04, NCSIST Albatross UAV No. 9717 on display at Pier 11, Zhongzheng Naval Port, Kaohsiung. CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons.
- Aviation Week: Taiwan's Thunder Tiger Eyes U.S. Army's Drone Dominance Program — Reports on Thunder Tiger's "Overkill" FPV drone becoming the first Taiwanese drone to earn U.S. Blue List certification.↩
- AgriHarvest: Smart Upgrades for Agricultural Drones — Agricultural drone spraying efficiency is 6 times that of manual labor, with pesticide use reduced to one-fourth to one-twentieth.↩
- The News Lens: Ministry of Defense Opens First Tender for "Military-Commercial Specification" Drones — Six Key Points at a Glance — Analysis of the military-commercial specification concept's origins, tender specifications, and competitive landscape among private vendors.↩
- United Daily News: NT$50 Billion Drone Procurement — Thunder Tiger, CIRC, AIDC and Others Eye Opportunities — Ministry of National Defense's NT$50 billion procurement of nearly 50,000 drones across five categories for 2026–2027.↩
- TechNews: Ministry of National Defense's NT$1.25 Trillion Budget Confirms 200,000 Drones — Drones are a core item among the seven major special budget programs, with plans for 200,000 drones and over 1,000 unmanned vessels.↩
- Vision Times: Taiwan Drones Gain Strategic Access to US and Global Democratic Markets — Analysis of how Taiwan's drones gained strategic access to U.S. and allied markets after DJI bans.↩
- SinoTrade Rich Club: Government NT$50 Billion Military Drone Tenders — First-batch 3,600-unit winning bidders (CIRC, Evergreen, JettWings, MiTAC) and delivery timelines.↩
- Liberty Times Net Military Channel: Strengthening MIT Drones — NCSIST to Release Teng Yun, Red Kuei Type III Drone Technology — NCSIST's 2025 announcement releasing Teng Yun Type II, Albatross Type II, and Red Kuei Type III manufacturing, systems integration, and technology licensing to private firms — indigenous defense technology下放 to civilian mass production.↩
- Liberty Times Net Military Channel: First Lead-off "Albatross Type II" Drone Delivered — Mass Production to Be Revised Based on Mission Requirements — Albatross Type II Navy shipborne surveillance drone, 12m wingspan, 300km datalink range, 2,000km maximum range, mass production from 2025.↩
- Wikipedia: Chien Xiang Drone — NCSIST anti-radiation loitering munition, 104 units planned for delivery over 6 years from 2019, assigned to Air Force Air Defense and Missile Command standard equipment.↩
- TechNews: Second Round of Military-Commercial Specification Tenders — Four Firms Win Another NT$6.951 Billion Contract from Ministry of Defense — CIRC, GEOSAT, Evergreen Aerospace, JettWings, and MiTAC across two rounds of military-commercial tenders: NT$6.887 billion in 2024 + NT$6.951 billion in 2025.↩
- CNYES: CIRC Charges into Drones — Next Year's Shipments to Multiply Several-Fold, Targeting 10,000 Units + United Daily News: CIRC Delivery Volume Grows Multi-Fold — CIRC shipped over 3,000 drones in 2025, becoming Taiwan's largest manufacturer; primary client Teledyne FLIR; certifications in Europe, Australia, and Japan already obtained.↩
- China Times: NCSIST Develops "Drone Defense System," Demonstrates Self-Defense Capabilities — NCSIST "Thunder Guard" high-energy laser counter-UAS system successfully hit live targets in 2025 operational evaluation.↩
- CNA: Air Force: NCSIST Drone Defense System Meets Functional Requirements in Live Testing — 5km detection range, targeting U.S. military Category 1–2 UAS (under 25kg, below 3,500ft, under 466 km/h), dual-mode soft kill plus hard kill.↩
- DefenseScoop: Pentagon's growing list of 'made in America' drones has a loophole for certain parts made in China — Analysis of the NDAA Section 848 policy loophole for non-data components (motors and other mechanical parts).↩
- TechNews: Developing Drone Countermeasures — Thunder Tiger: DJI Is the Industry's Long-Term Research Subject — Thunder Tiger's strategic logic of pushing from the attack side into the countermeasure side.↩
- TechNews: Details of Ministry of National Defense's NT$1.25 Trillion Special Budget Revealed + CNA: NT$1.25 Trillion Special Budget — Ministry of Defense Discloses Quantities for 7 Categories of Weapons — NT$1.25 trillion over 8 years (2026–2033), seven major programs; unmanned vehicles and countermeasure systems: NT$335 billion / over 210,000 units / over 1,000 unmanned vessels.↩
- ASPI Strategist: Taiwan's drone program is far too small — Australian Strategic Policy Institute analysis that Taiwan's drone program scale is insufficient to match real-world combat consumption rates.↩
- The Reporter: Inside Ukraine's Drone Production Line (Part 1): From Zero to 4.5 Million Units Per Year + TechNews: Frontline-to-Factory Direct Communication — Ukraine's Drone Industry Boom — Ukraine: ~300,000 units in 2023 → over 2 million in 2024 → 4.5 million in 2025, with monthly output of 200,000–400,000 units — a demand curve driven by front-line consumption pushing backward through the supply chain.↩
- Global Taiwan Institute: Taiwan's Emerging Indigenous Drone Industry — An Overview — Comprehensive analysis of Taiwan's drone industry status, challenges, and international cooperation prospects by the Global Taiwan Institute.↩